All Quiet in Dover: The Calm Before Brexit’s Border Storm

France will reopen the border with the United Kingdom after paralyzing the busiest port

Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe / Bloomberg

The day the UK makes its last break with the European Union, ports have no backups of trucks, goods move smoothly and supermarket shelves are well stocked.

However, British companies that rely on products that cross the border every day for £ 1.2 billion ($ 1.6 billion) run no risk. On Thursday at 11pm, Brexit becomes real.

Companies were already stockpiling and exploring alternatives to the crowded ferry-truck route down the English Channel when France unexpectedly closed its border for two days last week, citing an outbreak of Covid-19 in the UK. The interruption produced miles long backups at the port of Dover: a warning of potential chaos when the Brexit transition period ends.

The port of Dover is preparing for the forefront when the Brexit break finally arrives

A police officer is at the entrance to Dover Harbor on December 31.

Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe / Bloomberg

In response, logistics companies have redoubled their efforts to ease the pressure on truck traffic by increasing shipments of air freight, container ferries and air cargo. With the arrival of the New Year on a long weekend, worries about the immediate replay of last week’s show have waned. The port and its users will have the opportunity to enter the new reality of a customs regime at the old open border.

“It should be quiet at least the first few days,” said Richard Ballantyne, who heads the British Ports Association. “If there are shots of people showing up without the right documentation, if it happens at any time, it’s better.”

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Dover remains the UK’s most important link with the EU, the country’s largest trading partner. Still, the amount of tonnage has decreased steadily since the year of the Brexit vote: it fell by 14% from 2016 to 2019, Sample of data from the Department of Transport. Meanwhile, other ports have gained business: Liverpool traffic grew 7.6% and London Medway increased 43%.

Avoiding Dover

The unanswered question is what happens in the coming weeks and months. With Britain’s exit from the single market will come a multitude of regulations and customs formalities that threaten to erode the free flow of trade and add costs to importers and exporters on both sides of the division.

The trend towards other unaccompanied ports and freight moving by train or ferry, along with additional shipments of vital air freight, is expected to continue into the new year, according to port officials and logistics companies.

Container volumes traveling between the port of Tilbury, on the River Thames, east London, and Zeebrugge, Belgium, increased by a fifth in December as companies sought alternatives to short straits. P&O Ferries Ltd. has added an additional boat to the route to meet demand.

The port of Dover is preparing for the forefront when the Brexit break finally arrives

A member of the military checks the documentation of the trucks in the port of Dover on 31 December.

Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe / Bloomberg

Charles Hammond, CEO of the owner of Tilbury Forth Ports Ltd., credits the coronavirus pandemic to change the dynamics of the logistics industry. Unaccompanied transportation is “the answer to several questions of our time,” he said.

Container ferries

Kuehne + Nagel International AG, one of the largest freight companies in Europe, has switched some goods from trucks to container ferries. Truck merchandise is dropped off and picked up on both sides, something some smaller companies are unable to do.

The company continues to move goods through the English Channel through roll-up ferries, having implemented software that will facilitate customs clearance. The number of formalities has multiplied by five due to the new procedures, said Kuehne + Nagel spokesman Dominique Nadelhofer.

Companies that rely on the frictionless movement of parts choose to keep their reserves for now.

Reaction engine manufacturer Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc maintains an additional inventory worth £ 100m as it monitors the flow of goods over the next few weeks, according to a spokesman. It is unclear when it will return to normal levels.

Supermarket route

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