Biden knows that, though, right? The reason he pointed to July 4 as a day when Americans could get together with friends and have barbecues is not because he believes it will take so long to achieve a degree of normalcy. It was partly because of the symbolism (“we declare our independence from the virus!”) And partly because its habit with the pandemic is underpromised and overprinted. It has never strayed from its goal of administering 100 million doses in its first 100 days, although the day of the inauguration was clear, as the United States was already approaching this rate, which we would achieve. this goal easily.
Note that even blue state governors like Larry Hogan and Andrew Cuomo have started opening * big venues * like Camden Yards to limited capacity. By the time July is filmed, some may be at full capacity. There will no doubt be mass gatherings on this year’s Independence Day to see fireworks, and perhaps not exclusively in the red states. Biden just wants to set the bar to return to normal as low as possible so that it is child’s play for his team to clarify it, and of course to manage expectations in case any vaccine-resistant black swan variant appears. to complicate things.
Come on in at 2:55 here and watch Gottlieb drop another real bomb on the debate over relaxing precautions. Vaccinated people will relax their precautions, no matter how the “debate” goes, he says, correctly:
“I think we will meet well before July and I think we should give public health advice according to where people are.” @ScottGottliebMD he says. He thinks most people will be able to get the vaccine in April as supply increases. https://t.co/0UKdqCkLq9 pic.twitter.com/r32bjx1fZa
– CNBC (@CNBC) March 12, 2021
Now check this out:
We will reach 50% of vaccines in early May at a rate of 1.43 million doses per day, but we are well ahead of that rate, with an average of 2.2 million doses over the past seven days. And, of course, a significant part of the population has already been immunized by contracting the virus and recovering from it, which means that the real immunity of the population will be greater than 50% on the day we reach this milestone. vaccine. Herd immunity could be established in April at some point. And certainly with the vaccination of so many seniors, the risk of hospitals being overwhelmed by a new wave will have already disappeared.
Why, now things look so good in terms of supply, that even the blue state of Michigan led by Gretchen Whitmer is preparing to launch equity considerations by prioritizing the vaccine and opening it up to everyone in a few weeks :
NEW: Everyone in Michigan over the age of 16 will be eligible for the COVID-19 vaccine on April 5 pic.twitter.com/YYe19nxNAF
– BNO Newsroom (@BNODesk) March 12, 2021
Michiganders will celebrate July 4 as they please.
When our friends in Europe can celebrate the holidays en masse is another thing, as Italy, Germany and France are plagued by more and more cases. Italy is studying another blockade around Easter and German scientists say the “third wave” has already begun in their country, with more restrictions soon. How is that possible? In part, this is because the British variant is working hard, but in part it’s also because they’re struggling with vaccines. The following explains how they accumulate in the United States in vaccines accumulated per capita:
We are about three times better. Measured by the current seven-day average, we are twice as fast. I wonder how scenes from the United States and the United Kingdom will play back to normal on the continent this summer. Hopefully it will lead to less hesitation among Europeans, but I wonder if there will be no political consequences for governments due to the slow pace.
I will leave you with this sad story, characteristic of the media. It is not false, in the strict sense: the only way to “end” COVID is to vaccinate the planet, which will not happen soon. As long as there are populations where the virus can spread, the risk of a variant appearing that can outperform current vaccines will remain. But the pandemic, as we know it, will end here in the summer, and mRNA vaccine developers should be able to quickly adapt to variants as they appear and provide the boosting Americans. The pandemic is not over, but it is over.