Toronto
When Prime Minister Justin Trudeau withdrew the writ or dissolved Parliament on 15 August, he appeared to be in a good position to win his third successive election. Two weeks later, it looks like a real contest. His Liberal Party, which had comfortably led almost every poll for more than a year, suddenly found itself within the margin of error, and lagged behind the 7.6-point Conservative Party in the latest daily poll. EkOS monitoring. Canada does not elect leaders by popular vote across the country; the Conservatives received more votes when they lost to the Liberals in 2019. But the election is now a review.
It seems that Mr. Trudeau underestimated the frustration of the voters. A Mainstreet Research / Toronto Star poll conducted on August 10 and 11 found that 65% of Canadians wanted to avoid the polls. Undoubtedly, this includes many liberals who believe Ottawa is heading in the right direction and who do not want to disrupt the political chariot of the apples.
Meanwhile, new Conservative leader Erin O’Toole has turned out to be more formidable than expected. He has followed the playbook of Mr. Trudeau’s conservative predecessor, Stephen Harper (for whom he worked) and has taken offense. The Conservatives ’strategy has three parts.
First, they have emphasized the cost of quick “pandemic elections,” which Elections Canada estimates at around C $ 610 million (US $ 480 million), more than C $ 107 million above the tab of 2019.