Supervolcanoes have been catastrophic for thousands of years after a super eruption, the study warns

A “catastrophic” eruption of supervolcanoes is more likely to occur that could severely affect Earth’s climate and turn it into a “volcanic winter” than previously thought, according to a new study.

Experts from Australian Curtin University studied Lake Toba in Indonesia, home of the Toba Caldera supervolcano, and found that supervolcanoes are active and dangerous thousands of years after a supereruption.

They found that between 5,000 and 13,000 years after the eruption, “magma continued to flow out of the caldera,” before “the hood of solidified excess magma was pushed upward like a giant turtle shell.” Curtin University associate professor Martin Danišík said in a statement.

The researchers examined the feldspar and zircon minerals left over from the eruption, which help them understand the timing of the event, as well as gases such as argon and helium that are trapped in volcanic rocks to reach the volcano. its conclusion.

An eruption is more likely to occur

A “catastrophic” eruption of supervolcanoes is more likely to occur that could tilt the Earth into a “volcanic winter” than previously thought.

Between 5,000 and 13,000 years after the eruption of the Toba caldera, magma continued to breathe

Between 5,000 and 13,000 years after the eruption of the Toba caldera, magma continued to breathe

By doing so, it may have released up to six billion tons of sulfur dioxide and may have lowered the global temperature by 59 degrees Fahrenheit for years afterward, according to some researchers.

“The findings challenged existing knowledge and the study of eruptions, which usually involves searching for liquid magma under a volcano to assess future danger,” Danišík added.

Experts examined the feldspar and zircon left over from the eruption and gases such as argon and helium trapped in volcanic rocks

Experts examined the feldspar and zircon left over from the eruption and gases such as argon and helium trapped in volcanic rocks

“Now we have to consider that eruptions can occur even if no liquid magma is found under a volcano; the concept of the ‘eruptive’ needs to be re-evaluated.”

On average, supervolcanoes erupt about once every 17,000 years.

The most recent volcanic eruption occurred under Lake Taupo in New Zealand about 22,600 years ago, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.

The Toba caldera erupted about 74,000 years ago and spilled at least 2,840 kilometers of rhyolite magma from a “warm” deposit several times that volume, ”according to the study.

The Toba boiler, located on Lake Toba in Indonesia (pictured), may have released 6 billion tons of sulfur dioxide and lowered the global temperature by 59 degrees for years after the eruption.

The Toba boiler, located in Lake Toba in Indonesia (pictured), may have released 6 billion tons of sulfur dioxide and lowered the global temperature by 59 degrees for years after the eruption.

Danišík explained that the super eruptions are “one of the most catastrophic events in Earth’s history,” releasing thousands of cubic feet of magma almost instantly.

“They can affect the global climate to the point of overturning the Earth in a ‘volcanic winter’, which is an abnormally cold period that can lead to widespread famine and population disturbances.”

Experts examined feldspar and zircon left over from the eruption and gases such as argon and helium trapped in volcanic rocks

Experts examined the feldspar and zircon left over from the eruption and gases such as argon and helium trapped in volcanic rocks

SUPER ERUPTIONS

There have been thousands of considerable eruptions in human history, but not a real super eruption, at least not yet.

These very large eruptions possess devastating power, capable of releasing enough volcanic ash to cover an entire continent and having the potential to wreak havoc with the climate, as weather patterns will change over the next few decades.

The largest eruption in the last two million years was the eruption at the Toba Boiler in Sumatra, Indonesia, which threw 2,800 cubic kilometers of volcanic ash into the atmosphere.

It is enough to cover about half of the United States.

The island in the middle of Lake Toba is believed to be the direct result of the earth’s bulge due to increasing pressure from increasingly active magma chambers below the earth’s surface.

Rapid cooling, such as what is believed to be associated with the eruption of the Toba boiler, is “consistent with the catastrophic eruption,” the authors wrote in the study.

“In contrast, age mismatch in post-boiler domes implies a more complex thermal history.”

The researchers examined the feldspar and zircon minerals left over from the eruption, which help them understand the timing of the event, as well as gases such as argon and helium that are trapped in volcanic rocks to understand how super volcanoes work and why they erupt. approximately once every 17,000 years.

“Using these geochronological data, statistical inference, and thermal modeling, we showed that magma continued to flow into the caldera, or deep depression created by the magma eruption, for 5,000 to 13,000 years after the supererruption, and then the shell of the solidified excess magma was pushed upwards like a giant tortoise shell, ”Danišík said.

Super volcanoes like the Toba caldera have erupted several times in its history, but understanding what happens between these eruptions, in the long dormant eruptions, can help scientists get a better idea of ​​when they will erupt later, Danišík added.

“While a supereruption can have a regional and global impact and recovery can take decades or even centuries, our results show that the danger has not ended with the supereruption and that the threat of subsequent dangers exists for many thousands of years later, ”Danišík added.

The findings could have implications for the other 20 supervolcanoes on Earth, including the most studied, Yellowstone National Park (pictured)

The findings could have implications for the other 20 supervolcanoes on Earth, including the most studied, Yellowstone National Park (pictured)

The findings could have implications for the other 20 supervolcanoes on Earth, including the most studied, Yellowstone National Park.

“Learning when and how eruptive magma accumulates and in what state magma is before and after these eruptions is critical to understanding supervolcanoes,” Danišík said.

The research was published in the journal Nature – Earth and Environmental Sciences.

NASA’S PLAN TO AVOID SUPERVOLCANIC ERUPTION

NASA believes drilling up to 10 km into the supervolcano under Yellowstone National Park to pump high-pressure water could cool it.

Despite the fact that the mission would cost $ 3.466 billion (£ 2.633 billion), NASA considers it “the most viable solution.”

The use of heat as a resource is also an opportunity to pay for the plan: it could be used to create a geothermal plant, which generates electricity at extremely competitive prices of about $ 0.10 (0.08 pounds) per kWh. .

But this method of holding a supervolcano has the potential to fire up and cause the supervolcanic eruption that NASA is trying to prevent.

“Drilling into the top of the magma chamber” would be very risky; “however, careful drilling could work from the lower sides.

Even in addition to the potential devastating risks, the plan to cool Yellowstone with perforations is not straightforward.

Doing so would be an extremely slow process that would occur at a rate of one meter per year, meaning it would take tens of thousands of years to cool it completely.

Still, there would be no guarantee that it would be successful for at least hundreds or possibly thousands of years.

.Source