Climate change could force more than 200 million people to leave their homes

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Photo courtesy of Unicef ​​showing children walking down a flooded street in Mozambique (Photo: EFE)
Photo courtesy of Unicef ​​showing children walking down a flooded street in Mozambique (Photo: EFE)

Climate change could force more than 200 million people to leave their homes in the next three decades and create migration zones unless they are taken urgent measures to reduce global emissions and fill a development gap, a World Bank report concluded.

The second part of the report entitled Groundswell published on Monday examines how the impact of slow-moving climate change, such as the water scarcity, declining crop productivity and rising sea levels could lead to millions of people the report describes as “climate migrants” for 2050 under three different scenarios with varying degrees of climate action and development.

at the more pessimistic scenario, With a high level of emissions and uneven development, the report predicts that up to 216 million people will migrate within their own countries over six regions analyzed: Latin America; North Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa; Eastern Europe and Central Asia; South Asia; and East Asia and the Pacific.

at the less serious scenario, With a low level of emissions and an inclusive and sustainable development, the number of migrants could be up to 80% lower but still this would mean the migration of approx 44 million people.

The report did not analyze the impacts on short term of climate change, such as the effects of extreme weather events

the findings “Reaffirm the ability of climate to induce migration within countries”, Has highlighted Viviane Wei Chen Clement, a senior climate change specialist at the World Bank and one of the authors of the report.

Four million people will need humanitarian aid this year
Four million people will need “crucial” humanitarian aid in Somalia this year (Photo: EFE)

In the worst case scenario, Sub-Saharan Africa -the most vulnerable region due to desertification, fragile coasts and population dependence on agriculture –it would be the one that will register the most movement, With up to 86 million climate migrants shifting within national borders.

The report did not present a study regarding the climate migration beyond their own national borders.

(With AP information)

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