According to the study, a super infectious mutant strain of coronavirus “affects children more”

Scientists have warned that the highly infectious mutant strain of coronavirus found in Kent can affect children.

Modellers at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine found that the new strain of the virus is 56% more infectious.

Even if another national closure were implemented, it would be “unlikely” to reduce the R to below a feature that schools and universities would also be closed, according to their study.

But researchers do not believe the new strain will be more deadly or cause any more serious illness in either adults or children.

Scientists have warned that the new strain of coronavirus may be

Scientists have warned that the new coronavirus strain may be “especially marked” in children. Pictured: Researchers at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine modeled increased susceptibility among children to the new strain (VOC) compared to the original strain (Preexisting)

The researchers said there is “some evidence that the increase may be particularly noticeable in children.”

The new variant will lead to a wave of coronavirus cases and deaths that will peak in the spring of 2021 in London, south-east and east England, they said.

They said cases and deaths will peak in the summer of 2021 for the rest of the country.

Schools were due back on Jan. 4, but Education Secretary Gavin Williamson has ordered a week of testing and most students will return on Jan. 11.

A SAGE expert warns that new Covid mutant will likely become the “dominant global strain”

A rapidly spreading mutated coronavirus in the UK is likely to become the dominant global strain, a SAGE scientist warned today, as Gibraltar became the sixth place outside Britain to detect a case of the new variant. .

Calum Semple, a professor of outbreak medicine at the University of Liverpool, said the new variant “would compete with all other strains” because it has the evolutionary advantage of being able to spread more easily.

The strain – called VUI-202012/01 – has already been confirmed in Denmark, Gibraltar, the Netherlands, Australia and Italy. There have also been unverified reports of at least one case in Belgium.

France and South Africa also believe they have cases of mutation, but have not been confirmed. French Health Minister Olivier Veran said it was “completely possible” that the new variant was already circulating in France, although tests did not yet include it, while South African officials said they had detected a strain. very similar to the UK version.

Both Scotland and Wales have detected cases of strain in recent weeks, although it is prevalent in London and the south-east of England, where it is believed to account for 60% of new infections.

It is now present in all parts of the UK, except Northern Ireland, but Prime Minister Arlene Foster said it is “likely” that the virus is already circulating there as well.

When asked on Sky News whether the mutant coronavirus will become the dominant strain worldwide, Professor Semple said: ‘I suspect that yes, or that there will be strains like yes.

“Because the virus has the evolutionary advantage of transmitting more quickly, it will compete with other strains and therefore do so naturally.

“As immunity reaches the community more widely, then you’ll start to see more pressure on the virus and you’ll be more likely to see other leaks from other variations.”

Only GCSE and A level students, vulnerable children and children of critical workers will return on time.

According to separate figures from the Office for National Statistics, coronavirus is the most widespread among high school students.

Those in year 7 to year 11 are experiencing the highest infection rates in the entire population.

Scientists hope to learn much more over the next two weeks about how quickly the variant is spreading among children, said Professor Neil Ferguson, an epidemiologist at Imperial College London and a member of the No10 NERVTAG advisory group.

Throughout the coronavirus pandemic, children have accounted for far fewer cases than in other respiratory illnesses, including the flu.

The main theory of this is due to how the coronavirus enters human cells, through a receptor called ACE2 that is found in many cells of the upper respiratory tract.

As a result, Professor Wendy Barclay of Imperial College London and a member of NERVTAG explained that this made adults “easy targets” compared to children.

This is because the amount of ACE2 that a person naturally and steadily expresses increases over time, and young children have very little of it.

‘I think on the subject of children we have to be careful with what we say. We are not saying that it is a virus that specifically attacks children or that it is more specific in its ability to infect children, ”he said.

But we know that SARS-CoV-2, as it emerged as a virus, was not as effective at infecting children as adults.

“The previous virus had more difficulty binding ACE2 and entering cells and therefore adults, who have abundant ACE2 in their nose and throat, were the easy targets and children were difficult to infect.

“The latest virus makes it easier and therefore children are just as susceptible to this virus as adults.

Given their mixing patterns, more children are expected to be infected.

“It’s not because the virus is specifically targeted at children, it’s now less inhibited.”

Professor Ferguson added that if this hypothesis is found to be true, it may explain a “significant proportion” of the increase in transmission.

At a news conference on virtual media hosted by the Science Media Center, he said: “There is one clue that is more likely to infect children.

“That may explain some of the differences, but we haven’t established any kind of causation.”

The new strain of the virus, which experts fear is more contagious, caused more than 50 countries to impose travel restrictions in the UK, where it first emerged.

But cases of the new variant have yet to be reported worldwide: on Friday, Japan confirmed five infections in UK passengers, while cases were also reported in Denmark, Lebanon, Germany, Australia and the Netherlands.

South Africa has detected a similar mutation in some infected people, but on Friday denied British claims that its strain was more infectious or dangerous than the one that originated in the UK.

The December 25 figures are for England only, as decentralized nation statistics have not been included on the government board over Christmas

The December 25 figures are for England only, as decentralized nation statistics have not been included on the government board over Christmas

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