Credit: Jacob Norlund via Flickr
According to the National Weather Service (NWS), it increases the likelihood that a winter storm will hit Minnesota later this week.
What is still unclear is how much snow the storm system will be able to unpack and where the worst conditions will be, but the NWS advises Minnesota who have travel plans Thursday or Friday to keep forecasts due to the potential for dangerous weather. .
“The night from Wednesday to Friday has become more and more interesting, as it seems likely that we will receive accumulated rainfall. There are still several questions in the forecast regarding the timing, type and amount of rainfall,” explains the debate. forecast from the NWS Twin Cities office.
Credit: NWS Twin Cities
At this time, the NWS suggests that precipitation could begin Thursday morning in the form of rain, a winter mix or freezing rain, and then change to snow Thursday afternoon.
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“This situation will be closely monitored, as icy rain is very dangerous and would occur during the morning commutes,” says the discussion on the forecast.
You can see this scenario in the latest simulation of the European computer model. In the following GIF, different shades of purple indicate a mixture or icy precipitation, while blue indicates all the snow.
It is also worth noting that the European model is just one of many that NWS uses to create its forecast and that other models, including the American and NAM models, are not aggressive, as the European model brings most of the storm. and rainfall. in the heart of Minnesota.
If the storm produces impacts as the European model suggests, it could be a powerful winter storm.
“I’m concerned that near-snowstorm conditions could develop in western Minnesota if this storm system intensifies as expected Thursday and Friday,” Novak Weather says. “I wouldn’t be surprised if significant snow fell in much of the Upper Midwest, including the twin cities.”
Again, the amount of snow that will be associated with this storm system is still unclear, but the NWS Duluth office believes the highest amounts could be in the far north of Minnesota.
“The heaviest snow is expected Thursday night and early Friday, with heavy snowfall expected in the far north of Minnesota. Snow will end from west to east later Friday night, with the Lake Effect snow that will hold until Saturday, “the Duluth NWS said Tuesday morning.
Novak Weather will provide a new update on Tuesday afternoon. Check out updates to our Weather MN blog.