“Statistics are like thongs, they show everything but the most important thing.” The famous phrase of Juan Manuel Lillo, now Manchester City assistant coach, applies perfectly to Everton, James Rodriguez and Yerry Mina.
Two different sources, which are precisely based on statistical projections, say that, at the end of the season, Carlo Ancelotti’s team will not meet its goal of qualifying for European competitions and will end up in what has been a better location. or less usual in the Premier League.
The first to notice the trend is the CIES Football Observatory, which ensures that Carlo Anelotti’s team will finish eighth, with 61 points, outside the Champions and Europa League.
He says the arrival of reinforcements like Godfrey, James, Allan or Doucouré will not be able to change a curve that has kept the team away from the leading places in England for years. He is currently seventh, with two games less, but if the statistics are right he will not improve his performance.
According to the CIES, the champion in England will be Manchester City, followed by Manchester United and Liverpool, which will be able to reverse the current crisis and will be third. A striking point is that the Tuchel effect would reach Chelsea to be fourth and reach Champions directly, while Leicester would be fifth, with a share in the Europa League.
Worse is James and Mina with Everton in another screening, that of FiveThirtyEight in England, which places him ninth in the Premier League, again without meeting the goal of returning to continental tournaments.
According to this account, Guardiola’s City will indeed be champions, followed by United and Liverpool, but here the fourth-placed would be Leicester and Chelsea would go to the Europa League.
The bad news would be for Tottenham, Dávinson Sánchez and José Mourinho, who would be eighth, while Arsenal would finish tenth, behind Everton.
Champions in other leagues
The CIES deals with other major leagues, such as Italy, which would have as champions Inter Milan, the current leader of Calci, while Milan would be second and Juventus, champions of the last 9 editions , would be third. The novelty for the Colombians is that Napoli, by David Ospina, would be fourth and would go to Champions, while Atalanta, by Zapata and Muriel, would be sixth and would have to settle for the quota in the Europa League.
In Spain, according to calculations, the champion would be Atlético de Madrid, followed by FC Barcelona, Real Madrid and Sevilla, all with a share in Champions. The classified ones in Europa League would be Real Society and Villarreal, of Carlos Bacca, and the descendant would be Elche, of Johan Mojica.
In Ligue 1 in France, against all odds, Lyon would snatch his place in the PSG and will be champions, followed by Lille and Monaco.
In Germany, on the other hand, there are no surprises and Bayern Munich, world champions, would be champions for the ninth consecutive season. The news is that Leipzig would be runners-up and Bayer Leverkusen would be third, ahead of Wolfsburg, so Borussia Dortmund, a traditional guest in the Champions League, would go to the Europa League this time, despite Haaland, Sancho and company.