Maybe not.
If it keeps pace with the rise in the first week, Tesla shares will coincide with all of last year’s gains in mid-March. Not that anyone predicts another 700% of the shares this year. Or even a tenth of that.
In fact, even some of the most bullish analysts only predict that Tesla shares would reach $ 1,000 by the end of the year, up about 14% over the rest of 2021 since Friday’s record close.
Several analysts with relatively positive outlook for the company have 12-month price targets well below the $ 880 close on Friday. Analysts ’current average target price is $ 440, which would mean a 50% drop in shares.
Of the 35 analysts following the stock market, 13 have a “strong buy” or “buy” recommendation and another 11 have a neutral or hold recommendation. Of the rest, seven have a sell recommendation and only four a “strong sale”.
Adam Jonas of Morgan Stanley is one of the bullish analysts with a bearish price target. Considered one of the top car analysts on Wall Street, Jonas upgraded its recommendation on Tesla to “overweight” in late November, but has struggled to keep raising its price target ahead of the market price.
On November 18, when it updated the shares, it set a target price of $ 540, an increase of 22% over the position of the shares at that time. Last Wednesday it rose to $ 810, only to see Tesla shares quickly move above that mark.
Rather, they are betting on Tesla’s ability to continue to grow rapidly and to capture much of the world’s growing appetite for electric vehicles or electric vehicles. There are forecasts that within ten to twenty years, Tesla could become the world’s number one automaker, not just for electric cars, but for any type of car.
Dan Ives, a technology analyst at Wedbush Securities, has a base case target price of $ 715 for Tesla shares and a target of $ 1,000. His recommendation to buy from Tesla is based on his belief that Tesla will continue its strong march.
“I think they could reach a million vehicles [delivered annually] in 2022. And looking north from 3 to 4 million as we enter 2025-26, with 40% of that growth coming from China, “he said.” We believe that if you look at the next 10-15 years, you could start looking at 10 to 12 million vehicles a year, “he said. Volkswagen, the current world leader, sold 11 million cars in 2019.
That’s all for sure, of course. But what is indisputable is that Tesla’s shares have shown that analysts are constantly wrong during the race that began 15 months ago.
It was an increase that analysts never saw coming. Its average target price in October 2019 was only about $ 50 at the time, adjusted by the division. The 12-month price target a year ago stood at $ 62.
From here, Ives points to some of the most successful technological actions in the world and says that now Tesla is at the same point that companies did at crucial moments in its history.