Georgia’s Democratic and Republican Senate candidates are in a statistical tie toward Tuesday’s election pairing, according to a new poll conducted for a Republican super PAC.
Why it’s important: In both elections, Democrats advanced in early voting, pressuring Republicans to increase their turnout on election day to catch up. The tie poll suggests a jump in races between Republicans David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler and Democrats Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock.
By numbers: The Preserve America poll, conducted by Adam Geller, surveyed 500 potential voters over the weekend and included both cell phones and landlines. The survey had a margin of error of ± 4.38 percentage points.
- Perdue got 45% of the vote and 46% of Ossoff.
- Loeffler also had 45% versus 46% of Warnock.
The plot: The poll gave great relief to the way Democrats have garnered their first support: about 54% of respondents said they had already returned the ballot boxes.
- Among the first voters, Ossoff outnumbered Perdue by 54% to 36%; and Warnock led Loeffler by a margin of 54% to 37%.
- Among those who did not vote, Perdue led 56% -38%; Loeffler had an advantage of 55% to 36%.
- Participation will be key in determining the winners and the resulting balance of power in the United States Senate.
Be smart: Half of the poll was conducted after revelations Sunday afternoon that President Trump called Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger and asked him to “find” enough ballots to declare. the winner in the November election.