Accelerating the pace of vaccinations in the United States offers hope that something close to normal is on the horizon.
A significant learning of the pandemic in the United States could be just a matter of a few weeks, with an average of 3 million people vaccinated every day and 4 million alone receiving shots on Saturday.
Across the country, more than 75 percent of people age 65 and older have received at least one shot, as have more than 40 percent of all adults, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
Most states have opened vaccine admission for all adults and the rest will do so on a new target date set by President Biden
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“We just need a handful of more weeks,” said Jason Schwartz, an assistant professor at the Yale School of Public Health.
Former Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Scott Gottlieb also wrote on Twitter that a “vaccine turning point,” where the situation is improving dramatically, will likely arrive in “2-3 weeks.”
However, the country is not yet out of the woods and the short-term risks of more contagious variants of COVID-19 have been reflected in growing cases in some parts of the country. The easing of restrictions has resulted in more crowds, including 38,000 people attending the Texas Rangers inauguration, which has raised concerns for public health officials.
Experts urge individuals and governors to maintain precautions for a longer period of time, including masks, distance themselves from others, and avoid congestion. They say doing so could be the difference between life and death for some people.
“The question lies in this range, how many more preventable cases, preventable hospitalizations and preventable deaths” will occur before “reaching this result that we absolutely achieve and will arrive very soon,” Schwartz said.
Biden acknowledged the tension between the good news and the bad news in urging people not to leave precautions yet in a speech at the White House on Tuesday.
“We’re making incredible progress,” he said. “It simply came to our notice then. But there is also bad news. New variants of the virus spread and move rapidly. Cases are rising again. Hospitalizations are no longer declining. “
“The virus is spreading because we have too many people who see the end in sight [and] I think we are already at the goal “, he added.
Daily deaths from the virus have dropped significantly as more vulnerable people are vaccinated, but there are still about 750 people dying every day from COVID-19, according to the latest CDC statistics.
Cases have stalled and are even recovering to a very high level, around 64,000 daily.
The situation is especially worrying in the northeast and midwest; there is no place other than Michigan, which has seen alarming spikes in cases and hospitalizations, and deaths are also beginning to rise.
Some experts say the situation in Michigan is worrying enough for the federal government to introduce additional doses of vaccine into the state to try to cushion the peak.
“Michigan is becoming more vertical, will overcome the maximum of the pandemic in new cases, and it’s annoying to see why we (the U.S. government) haven’t aggressively helped get protection against the Michiganders vaccine,” tweeted Eric Topol, a professor at molecular medicine at Scripps Research.
So far the Biden administration has not changed its allocation formula to move more vaccines to the most affected areas, which would mean giving less doses to other areas.
The increase in cases in some states occurs as the most contagious variants of the virus, in particular one first identified in the United Kingdom, known as B.1.1.7, become more frequent and as states relax. restrictions.
“We don’t want to declare victory too soon,” Anthony Fauci
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Still, Fauci expressed hope that the pace of vaccinations would be enough to prevent a rebound in national cases, even if they occur in some places.
“As long as we continue to vaccinate people efficiently and effectively, I don’t think that will happen,” he said of a new wave. “This does not mean that we do not yet see increases in cases. It remains to be seen whether it explodes in a real wave or not. I think the vaccine will prevent this from happening. “
While some Republican-controlled states have already lifted most or all of their restrictions, even California blue kept its promise on Tuesday to return to normalcy in the next two months. Governor Gavin Newsom
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“With more than 20 million vaccines administered statewide, it’s time to turn the page on our tier system and start looking to completely reopen the California economy,” Newsom said. “Now we can start planning our lives after the pandemic. We need to be alert and continue the practices that have brought us this far – wear masks and get vaccinated – but the light at the end of this tunnel has never been brighter ”.
Experts largely agree that the situation will be dramatically better for the summer.
“The question is how these next few weeks are going,” Schwartz said. “We just have to stay a little longer.”