Florida, United States.
The next season of hurricanes in the Atlantic will have an activity “Above annual average“with 17 tropical storms named, due to the absence of the meteorological phenomenon of The kid, according to the annual forecast released this Thursday at the State University of Colorado (CSU).
The report indicates that there is an above average probability that “Great hurricanes impactin the continental coast of United States and the Caribbean “.
University experts anticipaten 17 storms with numberand whatn 8 hurricanes and four of them hurricanes with sustained winds of about 178 miles per hour, that is, category 3.4 or 5 on the Saffir / Simpson scale.
The forecast, presented in the framework of the National Tropical Climate Conference, is based on more than four decades of historical data from the hurricanes ccompiled by CSU and in the observation of two key elements for the formation of these hurricanes: water temperatures in the Atlantic and the fluctuations in the Pacific known as The Boy and the Girl.
Specifically, the report says there is a 69% chance that a hurricane will hit somewhere on the east coast of United States, when the average for the last century was 52%.
The forecast includes 80 days of storms and 35 days of hurricanes, As in 2020, a record year in this area, but above the historical average of 59 and 24, respectively.
In addition, a 44% probability of one has been estimated hurricane llinking to file Gulf of Mexico and a 58% chance of one hurricane in the caribbean, Both numbers significantly above historical averages.
If the forecast for 2021 is met as it was anticipated today by USC, this season will be 140% above average, which emerges from data taken since 1981.
The report of the university experts of Colorado largely coincide with those presented this week by weather service company Accuweather.
see: Costa Rica warns Biden that pandemic and hurricanes are increasing caravans
In this case they predict that in 2021 they will be formed in andl Atlantic of 16 to 20 storms with name, of which between seven and ten will become hurricanes, of which between three and five will be of higher category.
In the 2020 season, the most active in history, there was 30 named storms, thirteen of them hurricanes and six of these large ones.
It was also a record because the US sufferedor twelve direct attacks, Three more than in 1916, which had the previous mark, according to Accuweather./EFE.