US coronavirus: Michigan’s Covid-19 crisis could be a sign of what will come to the United States, according to the expert

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“Michigan is really the protagonist of what it looks like when variant B.1.1.7 … spreads to the United States,” Dr. Celine Gounder told CNN on Sunday. “It’s causing an increase in cases and it’s causing more serious illnesses, which means that even younger people, people in their 30s, 40s and 50s, get very sick and are hospitalized for that.”
Florida has the highest number of cases of the variant, followed by Michigan, Minnesota and Massachusetts, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Michigan is “on fire”

The rise in Michigan is a combination of two factors, according to Gounder: the spread of variant B.1.1.7 combined with people relaxing on mitigation measures before enough residents are vaccinated.

And while some officials, including Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, are trying to file a case for the federal government to increase vaccines toward the state, Gounder says that won’t help in that case.
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Why: It takes about two weeks after doses of Pfizer and Modern and about two weeks after the Johnson & Johnson vaccine before people are immune, he said. Meanwhile, Gounder added, “the incubation period, which is the time since you’re exposed to when you’re infected with coronavirus, is four to five days.”

“Therefore, there is no way that an increase in vaccination will help curb this when transmission is occurring at this time,” he said. “The harsh truth is that the only thing that will stop the transmission at this time are measures that take effect immediately.” For example, masking, not eating indoors and socializing outdoors, he added.

Michigan now reports thousands of new cases of Covid-19 daily, when a few weeks ago, state data showed that the reported daily case count was as low as 563 cases. In one part of the state, the emergency room doctor, Dr. Rob Davidson said CNN’s hospitalizations have increased “four times in the last two weeks alone.”

“Hospitals are flooding,” Dr. Jonathan Reiner, a professor of medicine and surgery at George Washington University, told CNN. “Michigan has to close.”

But he added that the government should send more vaccines to the state.

“Think of it this way: every year, during the fire season, when wildfires go out of control, we don’t just leave the states to manage them as best we can. We increase the fighting forces against those states. So , Michigan is on fire “And we need to put that out,” he said.

Other state leaders were alarmed

But it’s not just Michigan.

Minnesota health officials warned that the state saw one “strong increase” in the cases of Covid-19, saying it is “more important than ever” to continue wearing a mask and physical distancing.
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Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine said the state saw an increase in Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations and ICU admissions, and urged residents to get vaccinated to prevent another increase.

“This is a race,” he said. “We’re in a race. And it’s a race of death or life.”

In Pennsylvania, Gov. Tom Wolf warned last week that the state was seeing an increase in cases and urged residents to “do their part and practice proven public health practices to stay safe.”

Also last week, New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy expressed concern about the high number of Covid-19 cases in the state and what could happen.

“That’s why we continue to enforce things like our mask mandate across the state, especially for indoor activities where we know transmission is most likely,” Murphy said. “That’s also why we aggressively increased our eligibility period for the vaccine.”

The U.S. has to deal with vaccine hesitation, according to the expert

Some experts say the United States could overcome another potential increase in the coming weeks if Americans hold out a little longer and continue to practice security measures while more of the population is vaccinated against the virus.

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To date, approximately 35.9% of all Americans have received at least one dose of Covid-19 vaccine, according to CDC data. And about 21.9% of the population is completely vaccinated.
At the record pace the U.S. is administering vaccines, the country could reach the vaccination figures needed to control the virus in the coming months, Reiner said.

“The way to do that is to vaccinate like crazy,” he said.

But there are challenges ahead.

“The last 20-30% will be the hardest because a lot of people in this country are still hesitant to get the vaccine. We’re seeing it all over the country,” Reiner said. “We have to really get down, talk to people about their hesitation and get shot in the arms.”

“Because if we don’t vaccinate the latter 30% or so, we’ll have to live with this virus for a long time.”

CNN’s Anna Sturla contributed to this report.

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