
Passengers inside a subway train in Stockholm.
Photographer: Jessica Go / AFP / Getty Images
Photographer: Jessica Go / AFP / Getty Images
Sweden’s direct response to Covid-19, which avoided blockades while neighboring countries imposed restrictions, sparked controversy from the outset. Although mortality rates rose in early 2020, Sweden kept shops, restaurants and most schools open. It banned public meetings of more than 50 people and ordered some restaurants to be temporarily closed, but most of the measures had little legal weight. Although many people complied initially, they were less willing when the second wave occurred in November, forcing stricter measures.
1. What arguments did this provoke?
Lockdown skeptics saw the strategy as a way to avoid the negative side effects of restrictions to curb transmission and as a model to contain the virus without violating personal freedom. Critics have labeled it as a deadly or absolute nonsense disaster. Supporters of the government point to countries such as the United Kingdom, Italy and Spain that were blocked but have higher mortality rates than Sweden, while critics argue that the best comparison is with nearby countries such as Finland and Norway, which have densities. of similar population and health coverage, but whose mortality and infection levels have been much lower than in Sweden.
2. Why was Sweden not blocked?
Anders Tegnell, Sweden’s state epidemiologist and lead architect of the response, argued that all aspects of public health should be considered, including the adverse impact of restricting people’s movements. Tegnell said Sweden followed tried and tested methods of handling pandemics, while other countries go “crazy ”in imposing blockades. In contrast, Sweden relied primarily on the willingness of people to adjust their lives voluntarily to help curb transmission. There are also legal limits on what measures Sweden can take; while a now there is a temporary rule that allows the government to close shops, Swedish legislation does not allow orders to stay at home or curfews.
3. Was the goal to achieve herd immunity?
Initially, the Public Health Agency assumed that the population’s immunity would end the transmission of the virus, although it denied the media. reports that its goal was to achieve herd immunity by allowing segments of the population to become infected. Herd immunity, which blocks transmission, comes when there are enough people in a community who have been immunized for infection or vaccination. Early calculations overestimated the number of unreported cases, which led experts to misjudge the level of protection of the population. Tegnell said in early May that at least 10% to 20% of people in Stockholm had been infected, while three weeks later the agency found that no more than 7% of the capital’s population had antibodies against the virus. When the second wave came, Tegnell and his colleagues made it clear that Sweden he could not rely on the herd’s immunity to stop the spread of the virus.
4. Was this more about politics or science?
In Sweden, authorities such as the Public Health Agency have great autonomy and, although the government has the last word, it tends to rely heavily on its experience. When the pandemic first hit Sweden in March, it was clear that the center-left government of Prime Minister Stefan Lofven would follow the approach set out by the agency and has continued to do so, even if the initiatives taken since November have shown some signs of a fracture. Although Lofven has said publicly that he continues to make decisions based on consultations with Tegnell and his agency, a number of measures since November indicate a more active government role.
5. Has the strategy been abandoned?
Partly. From November 2020, Sweden began to introduce more significant restrictions, which in early 2021 included a ban on the sale of alcohol after 8pm and allowed schools to teach online students from seventh to ninth. While the shops remained open, there were capacity limits. Most entertainment venues, such as cinemas and theaters, were forced to close due to a limit of eight people at meetings. The Public Health Agency also adjusted its recommendations by asking quarantine for people living with someone infected and made recommendations on masks, albeit only on public transportation during rush hour. However, there was no formal blockade. The response of the Oxford government Coronavirus Tracker, which analyzes data on policies around the world related to virus containment and blockade, healthcare system measures and financial support, showed that Sweden, in early 2021, had had the least rigorous approach in Europe to late March to mid-April 2020, early 2021. to mid-package.
Not exceptional
Sweden’s Covid measures are now as strict as in most of Europe
Source: Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker
6. How serious is the mortality rate in Sweden?
At the end of January 2021, there were more than 11,500 people in Sweden he died, that is, 113 for every 100,000 of his population. This was higher than the EU average, three times the mortality rate in Denmark and ten times higher than in Norway. The most affected countries in Europe, including the United Kingdom, the Czech Republic and Italy, recorded more than 140 deaths per 100,000. The pandemic exposed defects in Swedish institutions and health care system similar to those experienced elsewhere. Nursing homes were ill-prepared, the country had insufficient supplies of protective equipment, lack of coordination hampered attempts to increase testing, and the capacity for intensive care was less than half the European average. Sweden was also one of several countries that underestimated the speed with which the disease would spread and took action too late.
Deadly transmission
Sweden’s mortality rate is higher than the EU average, lower than the US
Source: Johns Hopkins University, Bloomberg
7. Has the strategy been successful?
Proponents argue that Sweden has shown that it is possible to control the virus without taking measures that limit freedom and have a detrimental effect on health. The World Health Organization, while not supporting Sweden’s strategy, has highlighted the benefits of measures based on trust between the authorities and the public. Recommendations issued during the early stages of the pandemic affected people’s behavior, with Stockholm restaurant sales down 75% to 80% at the end of March. After the December holidays, when many people stayed home, there was a decrease in infections, but authorities warned that unless people followed social distancing guidelines, Sweden could see a resurgence. There was also concern new variants of the virus, which caused the country to restrict entry from the United Kingdom, Denmark and Norway.
The reference shelf
- Lionel Laurent of Bloomberg Opinion on how Sweden’s second wave offered a hard verification of reality.
- A Bloomberg Opinion column by Justin Fox on what it takes to get it herd immunity.
- A Find out why mutated coronavirus variants are so worrisome.
- The regulations of the Swedish Public Health Agency i guidelines for preventing Covid-19 transmission.
- A June 2020 Bloomberg article on Tegnell’s strategy evaluation.
- An October 2020 interview with Anders Tegnell on Sweden’s strategy.
- Correspondence to the Lancet of former state epidemiologist Johan Giesecke defending Sweden’s strategy. It meant that between 20% and 25% of Stockholm’s population had become infected in early May. questioned by several critics.
- A report by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, which contradicts the Public Health Agency’s view that there is no reliable evidence to support the use of face masks.
- A report on how Sweden’s elderly care system dealt with the pandemic, drawn up by a government-appointed commission.